Posts Tagged ‘2008 Elections’

Not as unusual as crop circles but possibly more compelling

Chuck Todd is one of the most influential political observers and commentators in Washington.  When he says something, people listen.  This is not what the McCain people want the chattering class in the media to be talking about less than two weeks before the election.

Commenting on a new joint interview with John McCain and Sarah Palin, NBC News Political Director Chuck Todd described the Republican ticket as lacking cohesion, chemistry, and (he hinted) trust.

“There was a tenseness,” Todd told MSNBC’s Chris Matthews. “I couldn’t see chemistry between John McCain and Sarah Palin. I felt as if we grabbed two people and said ‘here, sit next to each other, we are going to conduct an interview.’ They are not comfortable with each other yet.”

Todd, who was remarking on the interview conducted by NBC’s Brian Williams (he was in the room), speculated that the candidates had come to the realization that “they are losing” the campaign, and guessed that McCain may have begun to hold his vice presidential choice responsible for his dwindling White House chances.


Somebody’s already looking ahead.

The article is up on the NYT website. Highlights and analysis shortly…

Update:

The Highlights
– Steve Schmidt was the one who pushed McCain to go “all in” on the bailout and suspend his campaign to go to Washington to get in on the negotiations and then take the credit when a solution was reached.
– The Mark Salter/Rick Davis relationship was on the rocks at one point, which is what allowed Schmidt to take a bigger role in the campaign.
– The idea of McCain doing a campaign tour of the towns where he grew up came from Karl Rove.
– The idea for McCain’s much-panned green backdrop came from Schmidt, which Draper calls “a poorly executed version of an idea Schmidt borrowed from the eco-friendly 2006 Schwarzenegger campaign.”
– The senior strategists held a conference call on June 24 – less than five months away from the election – because (citing an unidentified participant) “we still couldn’t answer the question, ‘Why elect John McCain?'”
– Schmidt during a campaign strategy meeting on July 27 after Barack Obama’s tour of the Middle East and Europe:“Would anyone here disagree with the premise that we are not winning this campaign?”
“Would anyone disagree with the premise that Mr. Obama has scored the most successful week in this entire campaign? I mean, they treated him like he was a head of state! So tell me, gentlemen: how do we turn this negative into a positive?”
– Schmidt came up with the Obama-as-celebrity attack during that same meeting.
– Names on McCain’s VP shortlist on August 24: Tim Pawlenty, Tom Ridge, Joe Lieberman, Mitt Romney, Michael Bloomberg, and Charlie Crist.
– Schmidt was the one who first publicly floated the idea of Sarah Palin as McCain’s running mate at the same meeting, although he had been discussing the idea privately with Rick Davis beforehand.
– Lindsey Graham was lobbying for a McCain-Lieberman ticket.
– McCain floated the idea of Romney as his running mate, noting his help in fundraising and that he would put Michigan in play.
– Palin did not come up during internal discussions with aides, although Pawlenty and Bloomberg did.
– Draper’s account of the clandestine operation by which McCain aides went to Alaska and flew Palin and her family to Arizona and later to Ohio is excellent.
– Salter was a big fan of Pawlenty as VP, Romney… not so much. A senior aide says he was likely surprised by the Palin choice.
– Palin speechwriter Matthew Scully got a standing ovation at a bar after Palin’s acceptance speech at the Republican convention.
– Schmidt after Palin’s speech: “Arguably, at this stage? She’s a bigger celebrity than Obama.”
– Palin got lessons from voice coach Priscilla Shanks
– A very telling exchange between reporter and source after McCain’s acceptance speech.
Draper: “Leaving aside her actual experience, do you know how informed Governor Palin is about the issues of the day?”
Unidentified senior McCain adviser: “No, I don’t know.”
– Joe Biden and McCain came to an oral agreement in 2005 to do town halls together if they both won their parties’ nominations. McCain made the same offer to Obama, who was not interested.
– McCain has had a “disdain and dislike” of Obama going back to the ethics reform bill discussed in the Senate.
– Unidentified McCain adviser before the debates: “If he keeps the debates on substance, he’s very good. If it moves to the personal, then I think it’s a disaster.”
– Bad debate advice from Mark Salter, who suggested that McCain maintain “a very generous patience with Obama — in terms of, ‘I’m sure if he understood…’”
– Schmidt’s amusing response to a question about post-debate spinning from a foreign reporter: “Well, look. One of the things I always wonder is why we come in here at the end. . . . It doesn’t really matter, to be totally truthful with you. It’s just part of the ritual. Like eating turkey on Thanksgiving.”
– By Draper’s count, the McCain campaign has had 6 different narratives, and the current one is essentially a hybrid approach incorporating elements from the previous five.

Both about Sarah Palin’s wardrobe.

“Isn’t this the best $150,000 the RNC has spent the entire cycle?”
Unidentified McCain aide

“I don’t want to tell them how to do their business, but I would have picked a week of TV somewhere.”
Unidentified Democratic operative

U.S. News and World Report got a hold of an internal “death list” of House GOP members who are expected to lose re-election. Not a good sign.

Voter displeasure with the war and economy, coupled with Sen. Barack Obama’s popularity, has the House GOP running for cover. Even though polls have shown that Americans don’t like congressional Democrats any more, a new internal GOP tally of House races suggests a Democratic route that could keep the Republicans in the minority for decades. A document provided to Washington Whispers from a House GOP official shows that they could lose a net 34 seats. That means the Democrats would have a 270-165 advantage in the 111th Congress. In the Senate, Republicans expect to lose also but to keep up to 44 seats, ensuring their ability to stage a filibuster.

The document provided to Whispers is no gag: It comes from one of the key House GOP vote counters. The source called it a “death list.” The tally shows several different ratings of 66 House Republicans in difficult races or open seats held by retiring Republicans.

That’s what Sam Stein is hearing.

Five days after Rep. Michele Bachmann went on a McCarthy-esque rant suggesting Barack Obama was unpatriotic and urging the major newspapers of the country to investigate anti-American sentiment in Congress, the national Republican political parties are running for cover.

Two sources aware of ad buys in Minnesota say that the National Republican Congressional Committee is pulling its media purchases from Bachmann’s race. If true, it is a remarkable fall for a congresswoman who, until recently, seemed relatively safe in her predominantly conservative district. The race had become closer in recent days — the NRCC had transferred funds from Rep. Erik Paulsen (MN-03) to Bachmann a little over a week ago.

A few observers are calling it the Macaca Incident of 2008. If Bachmann loses what was previously a safe seat over this, it will be a truly epic meltdown.

Update: TPM Election Central confirms that the NRCC is pulling its funding for Bachmann. She really is that radioactive within the House GOP as a result of this mess.

Update II: The Republican base is not happy with the NRCC’s decision about this.

Sam Stein at the Huffington Post:

If Edwards had gotten one of his legendary haircuts every singe week, it would still take him 7.2 years to spend what Palin has spent. Palin has received the equivalent of $2,500 in clothes per day from places such as Saks Fifth Avenue (where RNC expenditures totaled nearly $50,000) and Neiman Marcus (where the governor had a $75,000 spree).

Indeed, the story could not come at a more inopportune time for the McCain campaign. During a week in which the Republican ticket is trying to highlight its connection to the working class — and, by extension, promoting its newest campaign tool, Joe the Plumber — it was revealed that Palin’s fashion budget for several weeks was more than four times the median salary of an American plumber ($37,514). To put it another way: Palin received more valuable clothes in one month than the average American household spends on clothes in 80 years. A Democrat put it in even blunter terms: her clothes were the cost of health care for 15 or so people.

Update: Marc Ambinder:

That’s one good week of television time in Colorado.

The New York Times Magazine is publishing a story on Sunday chronicling the behind-the-scenes drama and the ever-changing narratives in the McCain campaign. Given that the campaign has essentially declared war on the Times at the most senior levels on multiple occasions, expect a similar response when this story runs. Politico has excerpts.

Remember how much fun Republicans had tarring and feathering John Edwards with this?

If that was fair game (I thought at the time – and still do – that it was quite silly) then Sarah Palin and the Republican National Committee just handed the Democrats a whole caseload of ammunition.

The Republican National Committee has spent more than $150,000 to clothe and accessorize vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin and her family since her surprise pick by John McCain in late August.

According to financial disclosure records, the accessorizing began in early September and included bills from Saks Fifth Avenue in St. Louis and New York for a combined $49,425.74.

The records also document a couple of big-time shopping trips to Neiman Marcus in Minneapolis, including one $75,062.63 spree in early September.

The RNC also spent $4,716.49 on hair and makeup through September after reporting no such costs in August.

The cash expenditures immediately raised questions among campaign finance experts about their legality under the Federal Election Commission’s long-standing advisory opinions on using campaign cash to purchase items for personal use.

Politico asked the McCain campaign for comment, explicitly noting the $150,000 in expenses for department store shopping and makeup consultation that were incurred immediately after Palin’s announcement. Pre-September reports do not include similar costs.

Somehow, I think a six-figure shopping spree for a personal makeover is not what Republican donors had in mind when they wrote out their checks. Expect the Democrats and the late night comedians to pounce on this.

Update: Marc Ambinder quotes Republicans, GOP donors and an RNC staffer who are disgusted with the expenditures, although not surprisingly all of them are on background.