Posts Tagged ‘Barack Obama’
Obama’s Website Accepts More Fake Donations than McCain’s
Posted: October 24, 2008 in 2008 Elections, Barack Obama, John McCainTags: 2008 Elections, Barack Obama, Follow the Money, John McCain
Nothing to See Here People, Move Along…
Posted: October 24, 2008 in 2008 Elections, Barack Obama, Joe Biden, John McCain, October Surprise, Sarah PalinTags: 2008 Elections, Barack Obama, Joe Biden, John McCain, October Surprise, Sarah Palin
Ken Vogel has this interesting story on what records or other relevant information the four major candidates (McCain, Obama, Palin and Biden) are not releasing to the public.
The First Timers
Posted: October 22, 2008 in 2008 Elections, Barack Obama, John McCainTags: 2008 Elections, Barack Obama, John McCain
George Stephanopoulos points out this interesting finding from the latest ABC/Washington Post poll:
But four years ago, first time voters backed Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., over President George W. Bush 53 to 46 percent — a 7 points advantage for the Democratic nominee. In 2008 first time voters favor Obama over McCain 73 – 26 — a whopping 47 percentage point lead.
This will be a key demographic to watch out for on Election Night as the polls come in, especially if it comes down to the wire at the end in a few key swing states like Colorado or Missouri.
Tories for Obama
Posted: October 21, 2008 in 2008 Elections, Barack ObamaTags: 2008 Elections, Barack Obama
The conservative mayor of London pens an endorsement of Barack Obama. Not that it will sway much votes over on the other side of the pond, but it is rare for a foreign politician to inject himself into the American political process, especially in rebuking the party whose views are often aligned with those of his own.
The money quote (hat tip to Andrew Sullivan):
The legacy of George Bush may take years, if not decades, to determine.
But at present he seems to have pulled off an astonishing double whammy.
However well-intentioned it was, the catastrophic and unpopular intervention in Iraq has served in some parts of the world to discredit the very idea of western democracy.
The recent collapse of the banking system, and the humiliating resort to semi-socialist solutions, has done a great deal to discredit – in some people’s eyes – the idea of free-market capitalism.
Democracy and capitalism are the two great pillars of the American idea.
To have rocked one of those pillars may be regarded as a misfortune.
To have damaged the reputation of both, at home and abroad, is a pretty stunning achievement for an American president.
The Last Gasps of Campaign Public Financing
Posted: October 20, 2008 in 2008 Elections, Barack Obama, John McCainTags: 2008 Elections, Barack Obama, Follow the Money, John McCain
First, public finance in the general election is dead, dead, dead. Any nominee from now on can safely opt out because the Internet makes it for the public to massively participate. If we had not had a nominee with such misguided instincts on campaign finance reform, Republicans probably would have figured this out this time. McCain raised $47 million in August, or 71% of Obama’s total, and he raised $10 million in 2 days because of Sarah Palin. Had this trend continued into September, McCain would have raised over $100 million for the month. By the time the McCain campaign figured out it was possible to excite the base, it was too late.
This is true, because Obama has unleashed the full potential of a small Internet-based donor operation that (ironically) was first pioneered by John McCain back in 2000 and later on in a much more dramatic way by Howard Dean in 2004. This essentially narrows the playing field for presidential candidates. You either have to be able to connect with voters in a way that they will give money and time an deffort, come hell or high water (i.e. Dean and Obama), or you have to be ridiculously wealthy enough that you can substantially finance your own campaign (i.e. Mitt Romney and Ross Perot).
And Ruffini smartly asks the next question. How do you spend $150 million?
Second, what does Obama do with the extra money? A three-to-one ad ratio in a given state is worth about a point in the polls. But that’s in states with at least a decent baseline of Republican advertising. What’s it worth in states where McCain can’t advertise at all, like North Dakota or Georgia? 3 or 4 points? Does Obama move into states at the fringes of the target map to 1) heighten the sense of panic in the GOP? and 2) go for 400 EVs? Can he legally bail out the committees to go for 270 in the House and 60 in the Senate?
Either way, this is going to be the political equivalent of Sherman’s March.
Powell Endorses Obama
Posted: October 20, 2008 in 2008 Elections, Barack Obama, Beltway Drama, John McCain, Media, October Surprise, Talking HeadsTags: 2008 Elections, Barack Obama, Beltway Drama, John McCain, Media, October Surprise, Talking Heads
ABC’s Jake Tapper has a good recap of the highlights of Powell’s interview on Meet the Press.
As I said before – this will dominate the news cycle for one or two days. Pundits in the blogosphere and the major media will be aflutter talking about this. Obama clearly controlled the narrative yesterday with the carefully timed announcement of his $150 million fundraising figure and the nod from Powell.
McCain’s problem is that he is running out of time. He has about two weeks to go and not many ways to change or control the media narrative before Election Day. Barring a drastic change in the underlying fundamental dynamic of this election (which happened when the financial crisis hit on September 15), the political environment will continue to favor Obama.
Update: Former McCain adviser Mike Murphy weighs in at TIME’s Swampland Blog. His analysis: “Colin Powell’s endorsement of Obama today is a real sledgehammer blow to the already staggering McCain campaign.” The rest of it is not pretty.
You’re Gonna Need a Bigger Boat
Posted: October 19, 2008 in 2008 Elections, Barack ObamaTags: 2008 Elections, Barack Obama, Follow the Money
Obama’s fundraising numbers for September are out, and they are absolutely jaw-dropping.
Obama’s September fundraising explains why he’s been able to outspend John McCain so widely: He raised over $150 million in September alone, adding 632,000 new donors.
The average donation for the month was less than $100. The average contribution for the campaign is $86, Obama aide Dan Pfeiffer said in an email.
They’ve been raising, presumably at the same torrid pace, for the last 19 days, though the announcement — held nearly as long as possible — may make it a bit more of a challenge to ask for more. Obama’s total is almost twice what McCain is permitted to spend between the convention and election day.
David Axelrod and the Political Consulting Business
Posted: October 18, 2008 in 2008 Elections, Barack ObamaTags: 2008 Elections, Barack Obama, Follow the Money
The New York Times has an investigative story on Obama advisor David Axelrod’s consulting work.
Throughout the presidential campaign, Senator Barack Obama’s chief strategist, David Axelrod, has not hesitated to call out his counterparts in opposing campaigns for having private business clients that he says conflict with their roles as political consultants.
During the Democratic primary, he criticized Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton over corporate public relations work by her top adviser, Mark Penn. Last weekend, he accused Senator John McCain’s campaign manager, Rick Davis, of selling access to public officials on behalf of his lobbying clients. In response, Mr. Davis asserted that Mr. Axelrod does the same thing.
Mr. Axelrod is certainly familiar with the ways that corporations seek to influence government and public policy. A look at his consulting business shows that in addition to a successful career working for more than 150 political campaigns, he has also provided his communications skills to a roster of corporations and nonprofit groups. Like his counterpart at the McCain campaign, he has often the goal of swaying government decision makers in favor of his clients.
Mr. Axelrod’s services, though, have been confined to public relations and advertising — he has never been a registered lobbyist. And unlike Mr. Penn and Mr. Davis, whose firms represented controversial clients in the midst of the presidential campaign, no comparable potential conflicts have emerged between Mr. Axelrod’s consulting business and his current work for Mr. Obama. Most of Mr. Axelrod’s clients predate the presidential campaign.
Even so, in a political climate hypersensitized to questions about the influence of “special interests,” Mr. Axelrod’s corporate work has remained largely obscured — his clients’ names were removed from his firm’s Web site several years ago, part of a series of revisions that minimized details of that side of his business.
The identities of some of his past clients appeared in the press over the last year, including AT&T, Cablevision and the University of Chicago Medical Center. A fuller picture emerges from a review of public records, including an archived version of his Web site that contains an early list of companies and organizations his firm has worked with.
Welcome to the wonderful and lucrative world of political consulting. Although there’s no allegation of quid pro quo or conflict of interest in Axelrod’s case, it’s easy to understand why and how so many political consultants from both parties get tempted to take on contracts that could come back to haunt them or their candidates later.
Powell Watch
Posted: October 18, 2008 in 2008 Elections, Barack Obama, Foreign Policy, John McCain, National SecurityTags: 2008 Elections, Barack Obama, Foreign Policy, John McCain, National Security
All eyes in Washington and the political world will be on Meet the Press this Sunday morning, more so than usual.
Colin Powell, former secretary of state, and chairman of the joint chiefs of staff, will be a guest on Meet The Press this Sunday, fueling increased speculation that he will finally make an endorsement in the 2008 race, with only a couple weeks until the election.
Powell, despite being a Republican, has been neutral so far this cycle, fomenting rumors in certain political circles that he may endorse Sen. Barack Obama.
” It’s going to make a lot of news, and certainly be personally embarrassing for McCain,” a McCain official said to Politico’s Mike Allen, on a possible Powell endorsement of Obama. “It comes at a time when we need momentum, and it would create momentum against us.”
Tom DeFrank and Howard Fineman talked to several anonymous Powell sources. DeFrank’s sources were much more assertive in their thinking that Powell would get behind Obama, but Fineman got the same impression from his contacts as well. For all anyone knows, they could be talking to the same people.
If Powell does get behind Obama, it will dominate media cycles for at least two or three days, and will be a stunning symbolic rebuke of the Republican party and its presidential candidate, a man Powell considers a friend to whom he gave $2,300 in August of 2007 when many thought his campaign was finished.
Chicago Tribune Endorses Obama
Posted: October 18, 2008 in 2008 Elections, Barack Obama, MediaTags: 2008 Elections, Barack Obama, Media
Why is this significant? Because Barack Obama is the first Democrat the paper has ever endorsed for president in its 161-year history.

