Archive for October, 2008

While I’ve been obsessing over the presidential campaign, Congress is quietly continuing its work and the House of Representatives just passed a bill which will make American journalists and media lawyers very happy:

In a spare half-hour while discussing bailing out American capitalism, the US House of Representatives recently voted through an extraordinary bill with far-reaching implications for Britain’s courts. Yet it has received no publicity here and few of Britain’s lawyers even know of its existence.

By amending the legal code three weeks ago in order to prohibit the recognition and enforcement of foreign defamation judgments in the US, politicians sealed off America’s newspaper and book publishers from libel tourism – the use of British libel laws by non-nationals to sue foreign-owned publications such as books, newspapers and magazines that are distributed in Britain, even if only a few copies are involved.

Britain’s libel laws are widely considered to be among the most severe on publishers – and have been used by people from around the world, and increasingly by Hollywood celebrities, because American defamation laws give publications much greater licence.

Steve Cohen, the congressman who drew up the new US legislation, believes it will prevent the exploitation of defamation laws in Britain and other countries that lack the broad protections guaranteed by the US first amendment.

His measure is hugely popular in the States. It was passed unanimously, enjoying cross-party support and will now go to the Senate for ratification; it was applauded by the Association of American Publishers, the country’s principal book publishing trade body, and greeted enthusiastically by the New York Times on behalf of the newspaper industry. It “strikes an important blow for free expression”, said a leading article, which noted that people have been getting around America’s “high bar on libel lawsuits” by “bringing lawsuits in Britain where libel protections are notoriously weak”.

There have been very few voices raised against the measure. Two of the most notable have been a Belfast-based solicitor, Paul Tweed, who has a lengthy record of success acting for US celebrities in libel actions in England and Ireland, and a leading New York lawyer, John J Walsh.

“I have a respect for British jurisprudence and I also esteem responsible journalism,” Walsh says. “This bill makes it less likely that people who suffer from irresponsible journalism in publications that appear in Britain will have the chance for redress.” Walsh believes that the US, by seeking worldwide immunity from court decisions elsewhere, is in effect trying to export its first amendment to the rest of the globe.

Reporters are loving it, but the question in my mind now is where does this go next? American legislators just said to the rest of the world that they can pick and choose which of their laws apply to Americans on U.S. soil. What happens when the rest of the world picks up on that game and turns it around on the United States? It could be a very slippery slope.

William Ayers and Sarah Palin have become polling liabilities for John McCain, according to a new ABC News/Washington Post poll. Further proof that what’s good for the Republican base isn’t always necessarily best for the electorate at large.

Update: According to the Huffington Post’s Sam Stein, McCain campaign manager Rick Davis said during an interview with Hugh Hewitt he is considering bringing back the ghost of Jeremiah Wright to hit Obama during the final weeks of the campaign.

Why he wants to spend any of the limited time and money he has left trying to beat this dead horse is beyond me. It’s his campaign to run, but if I were advising him, I’d remind him of Rita Mae Brown’s famous quote about insanity.

McCain adviser Mark Salter unloads on the media’s coverage of the race and its pro-Obama bias during an interview with The Atlantic’s Jeffrey Goldberg. The whole thing is worth reading, and as Jason Linkins of the Huffington Post points out, is probably an interesting preview of the kind of things that are going to come out from the McCain campaign insider tell-all books after the election.

As a habit, I try to keep up with what the various pundits are saying about the election, because what they focus on often drives the political discussion at the local and national level. One guy I’ve been following especially closely is Karl Rove.

He’s been updating his presidential map fairly frequently, and I am surprised at his most recent forecast: a 313-171 rout for Obama, winning Florida and Virginia. Undecided states include Missouri, North Carolina, and North Dakota.

Rove is a movement conservative, but his political instincts and insights are finely honed after decades of experience as a partisan operative. Whether or not his new role as a pundit frees him from the standard GOP spin is subject to debate, but if he is being this frank about McCain’s chances publicly, I can only imagine the kind of fretting going on behind closed doors in Republican circles.

Separated at Birth

Posted: October 20, 2008 in 2008 Elections, Humor
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Howard Dean’s infamous “I Have a Scream” speech after the Iowa caucuses back in 2004:

Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart (R-Fla.) at a recent McCain event

Another campaign is quietly underway, which won’t kick in to full effect until after the election. Patrick Ruffini has a short writeup on the candidates to be the next chairman of the Republican National Committee. I’ll have more on this later, but it’s a good concise overview of who’s in the running.

Regardless of whether McCain wins or loses, this will be the more interesting race regarding who takes over the leadership of the two major political parties, because it will be the next RNC chairman’s job to rebuild and redefine the Republican Party in a post-Bush era after one (and potentially two) election drubbings and put together the political infrastructure for 2010 and 2012.

Patrick Ruffini:

First, public finance in the general election is dead, dead, dead. Any nominee from now on can safely opt out because the Internet makes it for the public to massively participate. If we had not had a nominee with such misguided instincts on campaign finance reform, Republicans probably would have figured this out this time. McCain raised $47 million in August, or 71% of Obama’s total, and he raised $10 million in 2 days because of Sarah Palin. Had this trend continued into September, McCain would have raised over $100 million for the month. By the time the McCain campaign figured out it was possible to excite the base, it was too late.

This is true, because Obama has unleashed the full potential of a small Internet-based donor operation that (ironically) was first pioneered by John McCain back in 2000 and later on in a much more dramatic way by Howard Dean in 2004. This essentially narrows the playing field for presidential candidates. You either have to be able to connect with voters in a way that they will give money and time an deffort, come hell or high water (i.e. Dean and Obama), or you have to be ridiculously wealthy enough that you can substantially finance your own campaign (i.e. Mitt Romney and Ross Perot).

And Ruffini smartly asks the next question. How do you spend $150 million?

Second, what does Obama do with the extra money? A three-to-one ad ratio in a given state is worth about a point in the polls. But that’s in states with at least a decent baseline of Republican advertising. What’s it worth in states where McCain can’t advertise at all, like North Dakota or Georgia? 3 or 4 points? Does Obama move into states at the fringes of the target map to 1) heighten the sense of panic in the GOP? and 2) go for 400 EVs? Can he legally bail out the committees to go for 270 in the House and 60 in the Senate?

Either way, this is going to be the political equivalent of Sherman’s March.

ABC’s Jake Tapper has a good recap of the highlights of Powell’s interview on Meet the Press.

As I said before – this will dominate the news cycle for one or two days. Pundits in the blogosphere and the major media will be aflutter talking about this. Obama clearly controlled the narrative yesterday with the carefully timed announcement of his $150 million fundraising figure and the nod from Powell.

McCain’s problem is that he is running out of time. He has about two weeks to go and not many ways to change or control the media narrative before Election Day. Barring a drastic change in the underlying fundamental dynamic of this election (which happened when the financial crisis hit on September 15), the political environment will continue to favor Obama.

Update: Former McCain adviser Mike Murphy weighs in at TIME’s Swampland Blog. His analysis: “Colin Powell’s endorsement of Obama today is a real sledgehammer blow to the already staggering McCain campaign.” The rest of it is not pretty.

“The most poorly run presidential campaign of the last 25 years. It’s truly Dukakis-like.”
An unidentified Republican strategist advising the McCain campaign.

Tough Crowd

Posted: October 19, 2008 in 2008 Elections, Media
Tags: ,

Jonathan Martin has this note about the differing treatments McCain crowds give to CNN’s Ed Henry and Fox’s Carl Cameron.

Carl Cameron and Ed Henry are both top-flight reporters.

But they work for networks which are viewed in, shall we say, differing lights by Republican activists.

So when Fox’s Cameron and CNN’s Henry took to opposing risers today at a McCain rally in Woodbridge, Virginia, their receptions were starkly different.

“CNN sucks!,” yelled one voter at Henry. “Communists go home,” shouted another”

At one point, Henry was hit with a flying pack of chewing gum.

Toward the end of McCain’s speech — which a handful of especially passionate activists ignored to hurl insults at Henry and other reporters — a chant went up: “We want Fox, we want Fox.”

I know Ed. He’s a consummate professional who does his job come hell or high water, but this has got to make it very difficult.