Archive for October, 2008

My friend and former classmate Matt Mundy offers this analysis of Bill Kristol’s prognosticating this election season and takes him out to the woodshed. Shorter Matt: Kristol offers advice, the McCain campaign seemingly follows it and tanks in the polls, and now Kristol is criticizing the campaign for following a course of action he advocated.

She should have done this right after the Republican convention. We are weeks beyond the point of giving major policy speeches. Palin should be focusing on making the closing arguments for why voters should elect John McCain.

From the Palm Beach Post:

Both presidential candidates will be in Florida on Wednesday — John McCain because he must, Barack Obama because he can afford to contend in states that voted Republican in 2004.

This sentence applies across the map, substitute Florida with any of the red states that are now up for grabs.

The bad news just keeps coming for the McCain campaign.

Sen. John McCain’s once-comfortable lead in Arizona has all but evaporated, according to a new poll that has the underdog Republican presidential candidate struggling in his own backyard.

With less than a week until Election Day, McCain is leading his Democratic rival, Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, by 2 points, 46 to 44, down from a 7-point lead a month ago and a double-digit lead this summer, according to a poll from Arizona State University.

Factor in the 3-percentage point margin of error, and a race that was once a nearly sure thing for McCain is now a toss-up, pollsters say.

As Al Gore found out eight years ago, only three presidents have ever been elected without carrying their home states. Whether Obama will buy advertising time in the state or add it to his campaign itinerary is unclear at this point, but he might send his wife or some A-list surrogates to headline an event or two there during the final days. It’s not the big gamble like four years ago when Dick Cheney went to Hawaii during the last week of the campaign. But if McCain has to spend money and time playing defense in Arizona this late in the game, he’s toast.

Draper Blogging

Posted: October 28, 2008 in 2008 Elections, Media
Tags: , ,

GQ’s Robert Draper, who wrote the much ballyhooed story on the McCain campaign’s changing narratives that ran in the recent edition of the New York Times Sunday Magazine, is now officially a blogger. Check it out.

Not good for the GOP.

The Republican National Committee buys TV time in deep-red MONTANA and WEST VIRGINIA, a sign the party is scrambling to stave off a historic landslide a week from today. “Tough environment,” one Republican official says sardonically. The McCain campaign has not officially given up on VIRGINIA but a top official concedes it is LOST, while maintaining that a PENNSYLVANIA miracle can still get Sen. McCain to 270. He and Gov. Palin will be there repeatedly before Election Day. But should they also be shoring up Nevada, now a must-win?

Update: Marc Ambinder makes a great point here when comparing the websites for the national parties. What, or rather who, is missing is as telling as what is there.

Elections have consequences, and Joe Lieberman bet on the wrong horse.

***LIEBERMAN ALSO OUT: Bres reports that Reid hopes Sen. Lieberman will “voluntarily” leave as Homeland Security Committee chairman after energetically backing McCain. We’re told he’ll be booted if not.

Expect him to defect to the Republican caucus some time after the election or at the beginning of the next Congress.

It is getting nasty inside the McCain campaign. An unidentified adviser takes a whack at Sarah Palin:

***In convo with Playbook, a top McCain adviser one-ups the priceless “diva” description, calling her “a whack job.”

Update: The finger-pointing over the $150,000 shopping spree is reaching fever pitch. Palin allies are trying to toss communications adviser Nicolle Wallace under the bus. Jake Tapper has the details. This particular excerpt stands out:

At McCain HQ, senior aides rolled their eyes, unable to believe that Palin was continuing to give the story more airtime.

And some Republicans are starting to now say they should have seen this coming, since Palin has a reputation for making friends who can help her and then screwing them over.

McCain says it’s time for Ted Stevens to go, but his running mate does not.

The Republican presidential ticket appears to be of two minds on whether or not convicted Alaska Sen. Ted Stevens should resign from the Senate. John McCain called on the longest serving Republican senator to step down today in a statement.

“It is clear that Senator Stevens has broken his trust with the people and that he should now step down. I hope that my colleagues in the Senate will be spurred by these events to redouble their efforts to end this kind of corruption once and for all,” McCain said.

His running mate, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, has not called on her home state colleague to resign. While the statement released by the campaign today had the McCain-Palin logo on it, it was a statement only from the Arizona senator. CNN reported Monday that Palin called the conviction a “sad day” for Alaska and said she was confident that Stevens “from this point on will do the right thing for the people of Alaska.” She did not respond when asked if she would vote for Stevens on Nov. 4.

Mixed messages during the last days of the campaign? Not a good idea.

Update: Looks like Sarah Palin figured out it wasn’t a good idea to be seen as potentially aligning herself with a convicted felon. She got with the program and called for Stevens to go.

Politico compiled this list of the 10 worst TV ads of this campaign season.