Posts Tagged ‘2008 Elections’

Does he know something the rest of us don’t?

Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) said Sunday on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that he can “guarantee” a win on Nov. 4 in a squeaker victory that won’t be clear until late that night.

McCain spoke amid signs of a tightening race, and reports of renewed determination among his staff, which is badly outgunned in both money and manpower.

“I guarantee you that two weeks from now, you will see this has been a very close race, and I believe that I’m going to win it,” McCain told interim “Meet” moderator Tom Brokaw. “We’re going to do well in this campaign, my friend. We’re going to win it, and it’s going to be tight, and we’re going to be up late.”

McCain was down just 5 points in the Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released Sunday, with Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) leading by 49 percent to 44 percent among likely voters in the daily tracking poll, which has a margin of error of 2.9 points.

According to Steve Clemons, there is a rumor the Obama campaign will announce his cabinet on November 7 – three days after the election. The other rumor is that John Kerry and Bill Richardson are frontrunners to be Secretary of State.

While every campaign has a short list of candidates for the cabinet and other key political appointments, I think it is extremely foolish for the Obama campaign to be so presumptuous to be telegraphing a move like this. Yes, they are in the driver’s seat right now with just over a week to go before the election, but a lot can happen or change in one day, let alone eight.

The McCain campaign seized on the erroneous story that John Podesta had already written Obama’s inaugural address. If this is true, expect a similar reaction.

Republican media consultant Mark McKinnon has this interesting post on the role of Twitter in democracy. He makes the following point:

People are listening to and analyzing every single word that John McCain and Barack Obama say, so the campaigns don’t necessarily need another channel for communicating to the public. But people are also paying attention to which campaigns and politicians are actually listening to the people as well, and it may be that the true value of Twitter for political campaigns is in listening more than talking. Twitter is more than just a large, unorganized focus group; it is a link to real-time constituent consciousness.

My sense is that this is what the role of the blogs are, arguably more so for the Democrats than the Republicans, but that could change after this election. But by its brief and concise nature, Twitter can’t be as cerebral or detailed or well-written as some of the leading blogs on the right, left and center are. It’s a fantastic open source conversation and generator for tips and story ideas for the press.

McKinnon’s focus group analogy is accurate, but even the fastest reader can have a hard time trying to keep up with the breakneck speed that Twitter posts are generated on their election channel, especially on a busy news day. I’ll respectfully disagree with him when he says Twitter might have a bigger impact on the political landscape in the future than blogging.

Hat tip to Jon Henke at the Next Right, who shrewdly points out the three benefits of campaigns listening instead of just telling, an analysis I agree with.

Saturday Night Live has a little fun at Joe Biden and John Murtha’s expense.

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Following the example set by Tina Fey’s devastating mockery of the Sarah Palin interview with Katie Couric, Biden’s SNL impersonator Jason Sudeikis uses Biden’s own words during the skit.

“There’s going to be a bloodbath. A lot of people are going to be excommunicated. David Brooks and David Frum and Peggy Noonan are dead people in the Republican Party. The litmus test will be: where did you stand on Palin?”
Jim Nuzzo, former White House aide to George H.W. Bush

This time from Arizona Republican senator Jon Kyl.

Update: Former Bush speechwriter David Frum is also pessimistic about McCain in his Washington Post op-ed.

That’s how Jonathan Martin describes the angry fringe supporters at some McCain-Palin events.

The finger-pointing and blame game continues.

It is absolutely stunning for a McCain adviser to call his running mate a “diva” and say that she has no relationship of trust with anyone in the campaign a week before Election Day. The sharpening of the knives continues inside the Republican Party and it is going to be very ugly over there after this election is over.

Update: Also check out this story from Politico’s Ben Smith.

Update II: Karl Rove gets in on the action, calling the finger-pointing “sad” on Fox News Sunday.

Update III: Bill Kristol, arguably Palin’s biggest supporter in the TV pundit class, takes the McCain campaign and the RNC out to the woodshed over their handling of Sarah Palin, saying she’s been “ill served” by them.

The Republican exodus to the Obama camp continues.

Jilted VP candidate Tom Ridge and Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wisc.) do the honors this time around.

Update: Also check out Marc Ambinder’s take on the drama going on inside the McCain campaign.